by 金融異鄉人
<p>這裡有針對投資解說的世界政經局勢以及一些投資交易策略與心理，由一位交投經驗近20年且待過銀行的老手講解。 <br /> <br />2023/11/7改為不定期更新 <br /> <br/>Powered by <a href="https://firstory.me/zh">Firstory Hosting</a></p>
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🇨🇳
Publishing Since
2/20/2021
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April 4, 2025
<p> 對於市場來說2025最重要的事情當然就是川普上任，川普講求實效但不按照套路，用出人意料這個詞語算是很客氣的說法，用驚嚇跟衝擊來形容會比較精準，這對市場情緒不是好事，反映在行情上就是川普沒事丟一句話市場就開始震盪，接下來四年很可能都會是這樣的震盪不安的走勢，弄得不好就會變成股災了。特別是川普這次上任第一天就簽了一百多個行政命令，很明顯鐵了心要大動作改革，動作幅度與頻率肯定不會小，所以川普在任的這幾年，不太可能出現前幾年那種隨便買隨便漲的行情，大家皮繃緊一點，該停損停利就停損停利，該定期定額就定期定額，該短打就短打，不要期待長線全壘打了。對於喜歡存股的投資人來說，這幾年會很不好過，不過也正好可以檢視自己在投資上的盲點，像是存股到底有甚麼缺點 <br /> <br />小額贊助支持本節目： <a href="https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr" target="_blank">https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr</a> <br />留言告訴我你對這一集的想法： <a href="https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr/comments">https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr/comments</a></p> <br /> <br/>Powered by <a href="https://firstory.me/zh">Firstory Hosting</a>
October 17, 2024
<p>首先來講講今年最後一件大事的現況，也就是美國總統大選部分。 <br />如果單論綜合民調是賀錦麗49%領先川普的47.2%， <br />但美國總統選舉是採用選舉人制度，其中大部分的州都是某個黨的鐵倉，所以勝出的關鍵就在7個搖擺州開票結果。 <br />在這7個搖擺州當中，川普在其中6個州領先，這6個州分別是密西根、喬治亞、亞利桑那、北卡羅來納、賓州以及內華達， <br />賀錦麗只有威斯康辛1個州的領先。也就是說目前川普勝選機率遠大於賀錦麗， <br />而根據博弈產業的預測，川普當選機率已達54%。 <br /> <br />利率點陣圖相關文章連結 <a href="https://rich01.com/fed-fomc-dot-plot/" target="_blank"> https://rich01.com/fed-fomc-dot-plot/</a> <br /> <br /> <br />小額贊助支持本節目： <a href="https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr" target="_blank">https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr</a> <br />留言告訴我你對這一集的想法： <a href="https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr/comments">https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr/comments</a></p> <br /> <br/>Powered by <a href="https://firstory.me/zh">Firstory Hosting</a>
September 17, 2024
<p>今年2024年初兩三個禮拜市場先反映了去年一堆尚未完結不穩定因素的後遺症而下跌， <br />像是惡性通膨(包含去年聯準會暫時不考慮降息)、俄烏戰爭、中國泡沫隱憂等等， <br />在這之後才重新回到作夢的一月上漲戲碼。 <br />這些都暗示今年市場可能不會太過順利，也就是說基本上是多頭但容易出現修正。 <br />果不其然在經過半年的AI狂潮之後市場出現了急煞車般的轉折。 <br /> <br /> <br />小額贊助支持本節目： <a href="https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr" target="_blank">https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr</a> <br />留言告訴我你對這一集的想法： <a href="https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr/comments" target="_blank">https://open.firstory.me/user/ckl1x1ob1p3ff086633pezuzr/comments</a></p> <br /> <br/>Powered by <a href="https://firstory.me">Firstory Hosting</a>
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