by LessWrong
Audio narrations of LessWrong posts.
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April 22, 2025
<p><strong> Forecaster perspectives</strong></p><p> Sentinel forecasters in aggregate assess as “83% true” (65% to 100%) the statement that the Trump administration has disobeyed the Supreme Court so far. On the one hand, the Trump administration has done nothing to “facilitate” bringing Abrego García back to the US, and this White House's tweet shown below clearly indicates that it won’t try to; on the other hand, it could yet still do so when the current news cycle subsides. On April 17th, forecasters estimated a 66% chance (50% to ~100%) that Abrego García will not be brought back to the US within the next 60 days (by June 17).</p><p> Data on the number of deportations in past administrations are available but can be difficult to compare between administrations; some up-to-date sources include refusals at the border due to Covid (“Title 42 expulsions”) under Biden, but other data have been discontinued. Perhaps a good [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:12) Forecaster perspectives</p><p>(03:16) Summary of events</p><p>(03:31) The Abrego García US Supreme Court case.</p><p>(05:41) Developments since the Abrego García Supreme Court case</p><p>(08:07) Next steps for the court case</p><p>(09:32) Plans for further deportations</p><p>(11:29) The Insurrection Act</p><p>(12:43) Implications and recommendations</p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 21st, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hGXvn6GXABHjfzn7C/the-us-executive-vs-supreme-court-deportations-clash?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hGXvn6GXABHjfzn7C/the-us-executive-vs-supreme-court-deportations-clash</a> </p> --- <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=lesswrong&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9bba6afe-d42f-428b-9e77-f1e091fb0931_1086x1584.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9bba6afe-d42f-428b-9e77-f1e091fb0931_1086x1584.png" alt="The White House tweets: "Fixed it for you, @NYTimes. Oh, and by the way, @ChrisVanHollen — he's NOT coming back." The tweet includes an edited New York Times front page image showing a headline about a Senator meeting someone in El Salvador, with red handwritten corrections crossing out "Wrongly Deported Maryland Man" and adding "MS-13 ILLEGAL ALIEN" and "WHO'S NEVER COMING BACK". Below the headline is a photo showing two people seated at a restaurant table in conversation." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</p></div>
April 22, 2025
<p> Back in the 1990s, ground squirrels were briefly fashionable pets, but their popularity came to an abrupt end after an incident at Schiphol Airport on the outskirts of Amsterdam. In April 1999, a cargo of 440 of the rodents arrived on a KLM flight from Beijing, without the necessary import papers. Because of this, they could not be forwarded on to the customer in Athens. But nobody was able to correct the error and send them back either. What could be done with them? It's hard to think there wasn’t a better solution than the one that was carried out; faced with the paperwork issue, airport staff threw all 440 squirrels into an industrial shredder.</p><p> [...]</p><p> It turned out that the order to destroy the squirrels had come from the Dutch government's Department of Agriculture, Environment Management and Fishing. However, KLM's management, with the benefit of hindsight, said that [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 22nd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nYJaDnGNQGiaCBSB5/accountability-sinks?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nYJaDnGNQGiaCBSB5/accountability-sinks</a> </p> --- <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=lesswrong&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/nYJaDnGNQGiaCBSB5/afjh1igoosegl4xc5v4n" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/nYJaDnGNQGiaCBSB5/afjh1igoosegl4xc5v4n" alt="Yellow-bellied marmot perched on rocks with mountain landscape behind." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</p></div>
April 22, 2025
Midjourney<p><strong> Our Culture Expects Self-Justification</strong></p><p> I really like David Chapman's explication of what he calls “reasonableness” and “accountability.”</p><p> At least in the culture he and I live in, one is constantly called to account for one's behavior. At any moment, one may be asked “what are you doing?” or “why did you do that?” And one is expected to provide a reasonable answer.</p><p> What's a reasonable answer? </p><p> It's not a rigorous, beyond-a-shadow-of-a-doubt proof that at this very moment one is engaging in “optimal” or “morally correct” or “maximally virtuous” behavior. That would indeed be an unfair expectation! Nobody could possibly provide such a justification on demand.</p><p> What people actually expect is a more-or-less plausible-sounding account that makes your actions sound understandable, relatable, and okay.</p><p> You have a lot of leeway to present yourself in a favorable light. Not infinite leeway — if you’re caught shoplifting, it probably won’t be [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:14) Our Culture Expects Self-Justification</p><p>(01:43) Asking for favors</p><p>(02:52) Denying requests</p><p>(04:09) Defending Your Reasoning</p><p>(05:24) Demanding Justification is a Cheap Heuristic</p><p>(06:24) It's Good To Have A Self-Serving Narrative</p><p>(07:51) Isn't This Just Rationalization?</p><p>(10:23) Everybody Gets To Stop Somewhere</p><p>(11:52) Don't Knock Mere Feeling Good</p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 21st, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cQ2ub5wjdyzoHTbab/the-uses-of-complacency?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cQ2ub5wjdyzoHTbab/the-uses-of-complacency</a> </p> --- <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=lesswrong&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/cQ2ub5wjdyzoHTbab/n64kohh8jo8ac9sntb0q" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/cQ2ub5wjdyzoHTbab/n64kohh8jo8ac9sntb0q" alt="Midjourney" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</p></div>
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